Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at set ar non initially rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other pack hold the akin determine and beliefs and thus detect the same thinking formula as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of unison becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from relations better alternatives. Aspects are:i. muscular stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with revolutionary discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the in the buff education in ball club to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their ratiocination. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one close preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? vocation offs? that would occur through do that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to warrant the decision made to others to fight back oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they get positive reinforcement and superior to see what they requirement to see, which keep make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB equal to Jervis: Powerful decision/ tactile sensation deliverance and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the perceive risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find other course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? pickax the safest option and then proceedings to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no worthy alternative can be found = tenseness which leads to-over evaluation-over aesthesia (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ effect Preservation)?Both note the neglect of existential info encouraging the topic of rational quality decision making, imputable to the overwhelming and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are delineate according to values and preferencesWhims and temper of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a intact essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com

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